Global recession a 25% chance - IMF

clock

The unfolding financial market turmoil has created a 25% chance of a global recession, the IMF warns.

In its latest World Economic Outlook, the IMF says world growth will slow to 3.7% in 2008, 0.5% down on its January estimate. Yesterday the IMF suggested the cost of the US sub-prime created credit crunch could top $1trn. It also predicts the US will slip into a mild recession this year, with a modest recovery coming in 2009. “World growth would achieve little pickup in 2009, and there is a 25% chance that the global economy will record 3% or less growth in 2008 and 2009, equivalent to a global recession,” the IMF says. “The advanced economies face the pressing policy challenges of addr...

To continue reading this article...

Join Professional Adviser for free

  • Unlimited access to real-time news, industry insights and market intelligence
  • Stay ahead of the curve with spotlights on emerging trends and technologies
  • Receive breaking news stories straight to your inbox in the daily newsletters
  • Make smart business decisions with the latest developments in regulation, investing retirement and protection
  • Members-only access to the editor’s weekly Friday commentary
  • Be the first to hear about our events and awards programmes

Join

 

Already a Professional Adviser member?

Login

More on Investment

'New normal': Lessons for investors against a backdrop of uncertainty

'New normal': Lessons for investors against a backdrop of uncertainty

'There is a sense that the markets may have entered a new phase'

Kate Rainbow
clock 10 April 2025 • 3 min read
Global small-caps and the case for direct engagement

Global small-caps and the case for direct engagement

'We firmly believe these interactions have significant merit'

Tobias Bucks and Simon Wood
clock 07 April 2025 • 4 min read
Into the Spider-Verse we go: Chris Justham assesses Trump Mk II

Into the Spider-Verse we go: Chris Justham assesses Trump Mk II

'The cognitive dissonance when your beliefs don't add up cause very real pain'

Chris Justham
clock 04 April 2025 • 3 min read