Japan quake will delay growth until Q3-Nomura

clock

Nomura predicts the devastating earthquake and tsunami in Japan will cut between 0.5% and 1% off the country's GDP next quarter.

The group says the natural disasters will mean the Japanese economy does not return to growth until the third quarter this year, with the worst of the impact felt between April and June. Economists Takahide Kiuchi and Kohei Okazaki say the quake could cost the Japanese economy between 0.25% -0.5% of GDP in the first quarter, and between 0.5%-1% in Q2. However, while the impact on GDP is undoubtedly negative, Nomura say it will not necessarily lead to a sharp downturn. It says: "We expect the negative impact on real GDP growth to be greatest in April-June, but we believe it is too p...

To continue reading this article...

Join Professional Adviser for free

  • Unlimited access to real-time news, industry insights and market intelligence
  • Stay ahead of the curve with spotlights on emerging trends and technologies
  • Receive breaking news stories straight to your inbox in the daily newsletters
  • Make smart business decisions with the latest developments in regulation, investing retirement and protection
  • Members-only access to the editor’s weekly Friday commentary
  • Be the first to hear about our events and awards programmes

Join

 

Already a Professional Adviser member?

Login

More on Investment

Quilter's WealthSelect rebalances in response to bond market

Quilter's WealthSelect rebalances in response to bond market

Following recent government bond market performance

Isabel Baxter
clock 17 January 2025 • 1 min read
PA Awards 2025: Multi-asset shortlists revealed

PA Awards 2025: Multi-asset shortlists revealed

The industry’s best in balanced, high yield, adventurous and cautious funds

Professional Adviser
clock 15 January 2025 • 2 min read
PA Working Lunch: Last chance - Seeking exceptional US growth with Baillie Gifford

PA Working Lunch: Last chance - Seeking exceptional US growth with Baillie Gifford

Join PA and Baillie Gifford on Wednesday for an informative online session

Jen Frost
clock 14 January 2025 • 1 min read