Japan quake will delay growth until Q3-Nomura

clock

Nomura predicts the devastating earthquake and tsunami in Japan will cut between 0.5% and 1% off the country's GDP next quarter.

The group says the natural disasters will mean the Japanese economy does not return to growth until the third quarter this year, with the worst of the impact felt between April and June. Economists Takahide Kiuchi and Kohei Okazaki say the quake could cost the Japanese economy between 0.25% -0.5% of GDP in the first quarter, and between 0.5%-1% in Q2. However, while the impact on GDP is undoubtedly negative, Nomura say it will not necessarily lead to a sharp downturn. It says: "We expect the negative impact on real GDP growth to be greatest in April-June, but we believe it is too p...

To continue reading this article...

Join Professional Adviser for free

  • Unlimited access to real-time news, industry insights and market intelligence
  • Stay ahead of the curve with spotlights on emerging trends and technologies
  • Receive breaking news stories straight to your inbox in the daily newsletters
  • Make smart business decisions with the latest developments in regulation, investing retirement and protection
  • Members-only access to the editor’s weekly Friday commentary
  • Be the first to hear about our events and awards programmes

Join

 

Already a Professional Adviser member?

Login

More on Investment

US-Iran truce eases inflation picture but markets to experience 'hangover'

US-Iran truce eases inflation picture but markets to experience 'hangover'

Fed and BoE face 'balancing act'

Michael Nelson
clock 15 June 2026 • 3 min read
FCA takes civil action against Neil Woodford and W4.0 for 'operating without authorisation'

FCA takes civil action against Neil Woodford and W4.0 for 'operating without authorisation'

Accused of breaching FSMA

Michael Nelson
clock 08 June 2026 • 2 min read
M&G's PruFund coming to Scottish Widows Platform

M&G's PruFund coming to Scottish Widows Platform

First third-party platform launch

Jen Frost
clock 08 June 2026 • 2 min read