Bond managers: BoE will backtrack on rate rise guidance

clock

Fixed income managers have cautioned the Bank of England (BoE) will be forced to backtrack on its forward guidance measures as it has been too pessimistic over the state of the UK economy.

Last week, new BoE governor Mark Carney indicated the Bank will not consider raising interest rates until the unemployment rate falls to 7% (from a current level of 7.8%) – something it does not expect to happen until the second half of 2016. However, bond managers said a combination of better economic data and caveats to the Bank’s guidance are leading to UK rate hike expectations being brought forward. “If you take a look at what the PMI data is indicating, growth could well be a lot stronger than the BoE has predicted, which will force Carney to backtrack on his words,” said Bob Jo...

To continue reading this article...

Join Professional Adviser for free

  • Unlimited access to real-time news, industry insights and market intelligence
  • Stay ahead of the curve with spotlights on emerging trends and technologies
  • Receive breaking news stories straight to your inbox in the daily newsletters
  • Make smart business decisions with the latest developments in regulation, investing retirement and protection
  • Members-only access to the editor’s weekly Friday commentary
  • Be the first to hear about our events and awards programmes

Join

 

Already a Professional Adviser member?

Login

More on Fixed Income

Fed rate cuts: The right or wrong time to buy fixed income?

Fed rate cuts: The right or wrong time to buy fixed income?

The reality for fixed income is complicated

Darius McDermott
clock 02 October 2024 • 4 min read
Buyer's remorse? David Roberts' bond market insights

Buyer's remorse? David Roberts' bond market insights

The best time to catch a falling knife is after it has hit the ground

David Roberts
clock 28 May 2024 • 5 min read
Partner Insight: Vanguard's Fixed Income Update - Yields decline on dovish Fed rhetoric in November

Partner Insight: Vanguard's Fixed Income Update - Yields decline on dovish Fed rhetoric in November

The key themes in global bond markets over the past month.

Kunal Mehta, Head of Fixed Income Specialist Team, Vanguard, Europe and Suparna Sampath, Fixed Income Product Specialist, Vanguard, Europe
clock 01 February 2024 • 8 min read