Past performance: Sustainable withdrawal rates face trouble ahead

Sustainability models need to be calibrated to today's world

clock

Duncan Robertson believes financial services is heading down a dangerous route when quoting sustainable withdrawal rates on 'naked' drawdown products

I received a postcard the other day showing a picture of a weather stone dangling on a rope.  The board behind the stone helpfully told you that if the stone was wet it was raining, if it was swinging it was windy, if you couldn't see it then it was foggy, and if it was gone it was a storm. Perhaps if you live in Australia and get day after day of sunshine it's easy to predict future weather by looking at the weather stone, but when living in a country of notoriously changeable weather I'd prefer to go with the professional forecasting by a weatherman (or app). The beauty of the pr...

To continue reading this article...

Join Professional Adviser for free

  • Unlimited access to real-time news, industry insights and market intelligence
  • Stay ahead of the curve with spotlights on emerging trends and technologies
  • Receive breaking news stories straight to your inbox in the daily newsletters
  • Make smart business decisions with the latest developments in regulation, investing retirement and protection
  • Members-only access to the editor’s weekly Friday commentary
  • Be the first to hear about our events and awards programmes

Join

 

Already a Professional Adviser member?

Login

More on Pensions

Many savers fear smaller pension pots after salary sacrifice reforms

Many savers fear smaller pension pots after salary sacrifice reforms

Two-thirds think changes will mean paying more National Insurance

Jasmine Urquhart
clock 08 January 2026 • 2 min read
Evolution of pension recommendations and how 2026 may influence change

Evolution of pension recommendations and how 2026 may influence change

Next year could be the start of something big

Richard Hulbert
clock 06 January 2026 • 4 min read
Preparing for 2029: Adapting to the Budget's salary sacrifice cap

Preparing for 2029: Adapting to the Budget's salary sacrifice cap

'While this policy alters the landscape, it arguably represents an adjustment rather than a fundamental reform'

Steve Charlton
clock 22 December 2025 • 3 min read