Rob Perrone: Seven substantial shortcomings of defensive equities

The Contrarian View

clock • 8 min read

Defensive equities have performed brilliantly over the last 10 years, says Rob Perrone, but repeating that performance over the next 10 will be difficult - for multiple reasons

First, credit where it is due. Defensive equities have at least three serious virtues as investments: they benefit from a behavioural anomaly, they are often high quality businesses, and they tend to experience less painful drawdowns than other stocks.  The anomaly angle is appealing. For most equity investors, the only way to seek juicier returns is to buy racier stocks. This "lottery bias" leads to excessive buying of volatile stocks, which pushes their prices up and their prospective returns down. Defensive shares don't get their fair share of buying, the theory goes, allowing them to...

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