Commercial property recovery in five years - research

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The UK commercial property market will take more than five years to recover from the losses experienced during the economic downturn, according to research from BNP Paribas Real Estate (BNPRE).

BNPRE research shows the value of offices, shops and warehouses has dived by 45% in just two years. It says the recovery in those capital values will be stalled by weak occupier demand and will struggle to reach the over-inflated pricing of 2007. Retail rents are expected to keep falling into 2011, hit by diminishing household incomes, before rebounding at an average 5.4% in 2011, 2012, 2013 and 2014. In all sectors, BNPRE predicts values will rise 31.5% from December 2009 to December 2014. The occupier market, which lags the investment market by about 12 months, will gain just ...

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