UK inflation rises to 2.1%

Likely to fall again before year end

clock • 3 min read

UK inflation unexpectedly rose above target in July to 2.1%, just 24 hours after wage growth hit an 11-year high of 3.9% and the employment rate reached a fresh record.

The two factors combined mean the Bank of England (BOE) is more likely to raise interest rates in 2020 than cut them, according to economists - unless we see a negative Brexit outcome. Expectations had been for the Consumer Prices Index (CPI) to slip to 1.9%, from 2% in June. However, a number of "quirky" factors drove CPI above target for the first time since April, according to ING developed market economist James Smith. "The prices of games and toys rose by a massive 8.4% in month-on-month terms, the biggest such rise since the series began in the 1980s," noted Smith. "Accommoda...

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