Confidence in second BoE rate cut soars as inflation falls below 2% for first time since 2021

Analysts argue conditions 'appear ripe' for a rate cut in November

Cristian Angeloni
clock • 2 min read

UK inflation fell below the Bank of England’s (BoE) 2% target for the first time in three years in the 12 months to September, according to data from the Office for National Statistics (ONS).

The Consumer Prices Index (CPI) fell to 1.7% in September, down from 2.2% in August. Inflation had reached the central bank's 2% target at the beginning of the summer, only for it to edge slightly above in the following months. According to the ONS data today (16 October), the largest detraction came from transport, especially from air fares and motor fuels, offsetting the larger contribution from food and non-alcoholic beverages. Yet core CPI remained elevated at 3.2%, although down from 3.6% in August, with CPI goods falling from -0.9% to -1.4% and services inflation from 5.6% to 4....

To continue reading this article...

Join Professional Adviser for free

  • Unlimited access to real-time news, industry insights and market intelligence
  • Stay ahead of the curve with spotlights on emerging trends and technologies
  • Receive breaking news stories straight to your inbox in the daily newsletters
  • Make smart business decisions with the latest developments in regulation, investing retirement and protection
  • Members-only access to the editor’s weekly Friday commentary
  • Be the first to hear about our events and awards programmes

Join

 

Already a Professional Adviser member?

Login

More on Economics / Markets

Reeves defends yearly Budget to avoid 'constant chopping and changing'

Reeves defends yearly Budget to avoid 'constant chopping and changing'

Treasury Committee scrutinises chancellor on Spring Statement

Isabel Baxter
clock 02 April 2025 • 3 min read
Five key takeaways from the Spring Statement 2025

Five key takeaways from the Spring Statement 2025

OBR growth, ISA reforms and defence

Sorin Dojan
clock 27 March 2025 • 4 min read
Bank of England halts interest rate cuts amid ongoing inflation

Bank of England halts interest rate cuts amid ongoing inflation

As priced in by markets

Sorin Dojan
clock 20 March 2025 • 2 min read