With Germany heading to the polls on Sunday, John Redwood assesses the chances of Angela Merkel winning a fourth term as Chancellor as well as the risks posed by upcoming votes in Spain and Italy
Earlier this year markets were stalked by talk of political risk in the eurozone and the euro itself was on trial in the Dutch and French elections. In common with many in the markets, we thought the euro would win and European shares would rise to reflect the quickening pace of economic recovery in the zone - and so it came to pass. Today, markets remain sanguine about European political risks and assured the economic recovery is now well set. In particular, ahead of the weekend's polls in Germany, a majority of investors look forward to Angela Merkel winning her fourth election in a r...
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