Claudio Ferrarese: Will Italy's election see a leopard change its spots?

Impact on markets

clock • 3 min read

Claudio Ferrarese explains what could happen in the upcoming Italian election, the possible impact on markets and why he will be keeping a close eye on the willingness of the populist Five Star Movement to join a coalition

By now, most people agree it is unlikely a clear winner will emerge from the Italian election on 4 March due to the new electoral system. A probable hung parliament will create the necessity of broad coalition talks.  It is an Italian election, however - and there is always the risk of surprises. For instance, it could be a right-wing victory with Silvio Berlusconi (ousted from Parliament and barred from holding office until 2019) potentially one of the main stakeholders and likely kingmaker. The Five Star Movement, which has received a lot of press coverage over the past few years du...

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