David Zahn's 2019 outlook: Political uncertainty will drive Europe's bond markets

Germany, Italy and Brexit

clock • 4 min read

Looking ahead to 2019, David Zahn expects politics to be the main factor affecting European bond markets, with the eurozone's economy and the ECB's monetary policy set to continue on much the same paths as before

Domestic political events are likely to be the main influence on European fixed income markets in 2019. The degree of uncertainty is considerable, with German and Italian politics as well as the scheduled culmination of Brexit negotiations all potential risk factors. Any resulting market volatility from these or other political issues could provide interesting opportunities for active investors. The backdrop for the eurozone economy over the next 12 months looks fairly stable, however, with the region's growth rate set to remain relatively healthy. Although the quantitative easing pro...

To continue reading this article...

Join Professional Adviser for free

  • Unlimited access to real-time news, industry insights and market intelligence
  • Stay ahead of the curve with spotlights on emerging trends and technologies
  • Receive breaking news stories straight to your inbox in the daily newsletters
  • Make smart business decisions with the latest developments in regulation, investing retirement and protection
  • Members-only access to the editor’s weekly Friday commentary
  • Be the first to hear about our events and awards programmes

Join

 

Already a Professional Adviser member?

Login

More on Economics / Markets

Five-fold surge in advisers buying gilts for clients in 2024

Five-fold surge in advisers buying gilts for clients in 2024

AJ Bell finds 436% increase in gilt purchases on its Investcentre

Isabel Baxter
clock 10 February 2025 • 1 min read
Bank of England cuts interest rates by 25bps to lowest level in 18 months

Bank of England cuts interest rates by 25bps to lowest level in 18 months

First MPC meeting of the year

Sorin Dojan
clock 06 February 2025 • 3 min read
Trump's realised tariff threats sends markets and currencies into a tailspin

Trump's realised tariff threats sends markets and currencies into a tailspin

US sets sights on EU next

Eve Maddock-Jones
clock 03 February 2025 • 2 min read