Markets and politics: Which leads and follows?

Taking historic parallels with a grain of salt

clock • 4 min read

This year has been extraordinary in ways most of us could not have fathomed. Amid ongoing volatility, interest in the next Presidential Election and the implications on the market has increased exponentially as we approach election day.

While the outcome remains uncertain, history does reveal some interesting trends, and it is worth comparing market performance during election years of past presidencies to understand the interplay between politics and the market. Looking at the performance of the S&P 500 index during President Donald Trump's tenure, US equities have reached tremendous heights. Even despite the incomparable social and economic upheaval brought on by Covid-19, the S&P 500 hit a new equity market high in August signalling the start of a new bull market.  Does politics drive the market, or is it the o...

To continue reading this article...

Join Professional Adviser for free

  • Unlimited access to real-time news, industry insights and market intelligence
  • Stay ahead of the curve with spotlights on emerging trends and technologies
  • Receive breaking news stories straight to your inbox in the daily newsletters
  • Make smart business decisions with the latest developments in regulation, investing retirement and protection
  • Members-only access to the editor’s weekly Friday commentary
  • Be the first to hear about our events and awards programmes

Join

 

Already a Professional Adviser member?

Login

More on Economics / Markets

Trump, tariffs and why UK companies can still appeal

Trump, tariffs and why UK companies can still appeal

Is a trade war inevitable?

Sheldon MacDonald
clock 11 December 2024 • 4 min read
Why the lead-up to the Budget may have been worse than the Budget itself

Why the lead-up to the Budget may have been worse than the Budget itself

What Rachel Reeves and Dr Evil have in common

Laith Khalaf
clock 13 November 2024 • 4 min read
Bank of England meets expectations with 25 basis point rate cut to 4.75%

Bank of England meets expectations with 25 basis point rate cut to 4.75%

'Continued progress' on disinflation

Valeria Martinez
clock 07 November 2024 • 2 min read