Industry Voice: History suggests dividends can continue to grow

The key is finding the right companies

clock • 1 min read
Industry Voice: History suggests dividends can continue to grow

Economic conditions have been pushing investors' attention towards more defensive areas such as equity income. Over the last 6 months to 31 August 2022, the Global Equity Income sector has seen positive net sales flow of £1.83bn1.

With inflation currently proving so troublesome, a global equity income strategy has particular attractions. History tells us this is the case. The chart below, while focused on the US market, looks at the (very) long-term relationship between dividends and inflation.

 

ChartDescription automatically generated

The obvious question is whether dividends can continue to grow against the current backdrop. Encouragingly, if we look back since 1900, the 10-year annualised growth in dividends across the S&P 500 has outpaced CPI growth nearly three-quarters (73%) of the time.

The key in such a challenging environment will be finding the companies most likely to increase their dividends. In this regard, an unconstrained global approach can help identify the most attractive investment opportunities wherever they may be located, while also avoiding some of the sector skew and concentration issues that can be found in narrower universes.

For more on effective global dividend investing, read our exclusive guide: Going Global in Challenging Times

1) UK Investment Association as at 31 August 2022.

 

More on Economics / Markets

Why the lead-up to the Budget may have been worse than the Budget itself

Why the lead-up to the Budget may have been worse than the Budget itself

What Rachel Reeves and Dr Evil have in common

Laith Khalaf
clock 13 November 2024 • 4 min read
Bank of England meets expectations with 25 basis point rate cut to 4.75%

Bank of England meets expectations with 25 basis point rate cut to 4.75%

'Continued progress' on disinflation

Valeria Martinez
clock 07 November 2024 • 2 min read
'Budget will be a reset for our economy' Reeves tells IMF colleagues

'Budget will be a reset for our economy' Reeves tells IMF colleagues

Autumn Budget on 30 October

Linus Uhlig
clock 24 October 2024 • 2 min read

In-depth

Analysis: Advice M&A continues apace as FCA review looms

Analysis: Advice M&A continues apace as FCA review looms

Firms taking very different approaches to buying and selling

Isabel Baxter
clock 18 November 2024 • 7 min read
Your Autumn Budget briefing: Tax and pensions changes Labour could have in store

Your Autumn Budget briefing: Tax and pensions changes Labour could have in store

Budget comes as prime minister says country 'embrace the harsh light of fiscal reality'

Jen Frost
clock 29 October 2024 • 22 min read
In view: Plotting PFS change

In view: Plotting PFS change

From first operating loss since 2008 to sponsorship, board and revenue changes

Jen Frost
clock 17 October 2024 • 6 min read