Anthony Rayner: 'Lower for longer' on steroids

Worsening global dynamics

clock • 2 min read

With president Trump pushing the Fed for interest rate cuts to limit the fall-out of a drawn-out trade war, writes Anthony Rayner, the US central bank needs to improve clarity of communications around its thinking

For some time now, we have been of the view that economic growth is slowing and, in the absence of inflationary pressures, central banks continue to have free reign to loosen monetary policy. This is a familiar playbook. In recent weeks, economic growth data have been weaker than expected and so the ‘lower for longer' dynamic is starting to dominate markets once again. Compounding this weaker growth environment, trade war tensions have escalated, broadening out to other countries and extending beyond trade policy objectives, such as border policy. In response to both of these worsenin...

To continue reading this article...

Join Professional Adviser for free

  • Unlimited access to real-time news, industry insights and market intelligence
  • Stay ahead of the curve with spotlights on emerging trends and technologies
  • Receive breaking news stories straight to your inbox in the daily newsletters
  • Make smart business decisions with the latest developments in regulation, investing retirement and protection
  • Members-only access to the editor’s weekly Friday commentary
  • Be the first to hear about our events and awards programmes

Join

 

Already a Professional Adviser member?

Login

More on Markets

Bank of England holds rates at 5.25% in final pre-election decision

Bank of England holds rates at 5.25% in final pre-election decision

'The MPC would not want to be perceived as politicking'

Cristian Angeloni
clock 20 June 2024 • 1 min read
Inflation officially back to Bank of England's target level of 2%

Inflation officially back to Bank of England's target level of 2%

Data shows a 2% year-on-year fall ‘in line with consensus expectations’

Hope Coumbe
clock 19 June 2024 • 2 min read
OBR shows UK growth flatlined in April as general election looms

OBR shows UK growth flatlined in April as general election looms

Challenges PM's claims 'the economy has turned a corner'

Eve Maddock-Jones
clock 12 June 2024 • 1 min read